arXiv cs.LG
7/1/2026

Accelerometry-Derived Digital Biomarkers for Cardiometabolic Risk: A Population-Representative Tabular Benchmark with Uncertainty Quantification
Short summary
New benchmark evaluates ML methods for predicting cardiometabolic risk from accelerometry and lifestyle data across 1,381 adults. TabPFN v2 performs best for HbA1c and CRP, but triglycerides remain largely unpredictable due to genetic dominance. Fairness analysis reveals demographic coverage gaps in marginalized groups despite marginal confidence targets; code and data are open-source.
- •TabPFN v2 outperforms ridge regression and XGBoost for HbA1c and CRP prediction from activity phenotypes
- •Triglycerides remain largely unpredictable (R² < 0.05), consistent with genetic dominance in the trait
- •Demographic fairness analysis reveals localized undercoverage in marginalized groups despite marginal confidence targets
Generated with AI, which can make mistakes.
Is this a good recommendation for you?