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Dev.to
Dev.to
6/28/2026
A published win rate is the actor auditing itself

A published win rate is the actor auditing itself

Short summary

The author built a shadow-mode trading system to audit Telegram crypto signal channels, finding only 14.2% of messages contained tradeable signals and 91.7% of those arrived too late to trade. Zero trades executed; channels artificially inflate win rates by locking details behind paywalls and flooding the feed with post-trade result announcements.

  • Only 14.2% of 9,312 Telegram messages were parseable trade ideas; 91.7% of those were stale
  • Zero trades executed in live testing due to market staleness and veto filters
  • Signal channels curate their own track records using paywalls and result-post flooding, not real performance

Generated with AI, which can make mistakes.

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