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Dev.to
Dev.to
7/11/2026
We Analyzed 89 Dead Lifetime Deals. 1 in 8 Died While the Company Was Still Alive.

We Analyzed 89 Dead Lifetime Deals. 1 in 8 Died While the Company Was Still Alive.

Short summary

An analysis of 89 failed lifetime deals (LTDs) from AppSumo, PitchGround, and StackSocial reveals that 81% were outright shutdowns, while 12% had licenses revoked or downgraded while the company was still operating. Only 2% open-sourced their code. 2024 was the deadliest year, accounting for 58% of dated failures. The authors recommend treating LTDs as 2–4 year investments, preferring tools with data export paths, and watching for downgrade signals.

  • 12% of dead LTDs were revoked while the company was still alive, not shutdowns
  • 81% were outright shutdowns; only 2% open-sourced code for self-hosting
  • 2024 was the deadliest year with 58% of dated failures

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