Medicare data shows better health

Short summary

Using 28 years of Medicare beneficiary data, researchers found that declining mortality and improved health outcomes paradoxically increase Social Security's long-term fiscal obligations, revealing complex trade-offs between healthcare gains and program sustainability.

• •Improved health outcomes and longer lifespans raise lifetime Social Security spending expectations
• •Analysis covers 1992–2019 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey data
• •Raises questions about relative fiscal pressure between Social Security and Medicare

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